Handbook of warning intelligence : complete and declassified /
The Handbook was written during the cold war and was classified for 40 years. Originally written as a manual for training intelligence analysts, it explains the fundamentals of intelligence analysis and forecasting, discusses military analysis, as well as the difficulties in understanding political,...
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| Main Authors: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Electronic eBook |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Lanham [Maryland] :
Rowman & Littlefield,
[2015]
|
| Series: | Security and professional intelligence education series ;
21. |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: |
Full text (Emmanuel users only) |
Table of Contents:
- Foreword; Foreword to the Previous Edition; Author's Note to Original Edition; 1: General Nature of the Problem; 2: Definitions of Terms and Their Usage; 3: What Warning Is and Is Not; 4: Warning and Collection; 5: Intentions versus Capabilities; 6: Problems of Organization and Management; 7: Indicator Lists; 8: The Compiling of Indications; 9: Can Computers Help?; 10: Some Fundamentals of Indications Analysis; 11: Some Specifics of the Analytical Method; 12: What Makes a Good Warning Analyst?; 13: Importance of Military Indications; 14: Order-of-Battle Analysis in Crisis Situations
- 15: Analysis of Mobilization16: Logistics Is the Queen of Battles; 17: Other Factors in Combat Preparations; 18: Coping with Extraordinary Military Developments; 19: Importance of Political Factors for Warning; 20: Basic Political Warning-A Problem of Perception; 21: Some Specific Factors in Political Warning; 22: Economic Indicators; 23: Civil Defense; 24: Security, Counter-Intelligence and Agent Preparations; 25: Warning from the Totality of Evidence; 26: The Impact on Warning of ; 27: Reconstructing the Enemy's Decision-Making Process; 28: Assessing the Timing of Attack
- 29: Deception: Can We Cope with It?30: Analysis with Hostilities Already in Progress; 31: Problems Peculiar to Guerrilla Warfare and "Wars of Liberation"; 32: Hypothetical Problems of the Coming of World War III; 33: Vital Importance of the Judgment; 34: What Does the Policy Maker Need, ; 35: How to Write Indications or Warning Items; 36: Assessing Probabilities; 37: Some Major Factors Influencing Judgments and Reporting; 38: Most Frequent Errors in the Judgment and Reporting Process; 39: A Summing Up, With Some Do's and Don'ts for Analysts and Supervisors; About the Authors